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CORAL WELSH GRAND NATIONAL CHASE 14:50 Sat 27 December 2025

1

Intense Raffles 🇮🇪

Form: 11/902P-38 / Age: 7
Trainer: T Gibney
Weight: 12-0
Classy Irish raider carrying top weight. Previous form includes a win at Fairyhouse, but was well beaten at Newbury last time. Needs to handle the burden in testing conditions.
Rating155
Age7
OriginIRE
2

Haiti Couleurs 🇫🇷

Form: 211311-1P / Age: 8
Trainer: Rebecca Curtis
Weight: 11-13
Representing local trainer Rebecca Curtis. A winner at Newbury in November but pulled up last time at Haydock. Course knowledge from the stable is a plus.
Win RateHigh
TrainerLocal
Rating154
3

Mr Vango 🇮🇪

Form: 313P/111-2 / Age: 9
Trainer: Sara Bradstock
Weight: 11-11
Stamina Machine: Loves heavy ground and stays forever. Finished 2nd at Aintree (Becher) recently, proving his wellbeing. A leading contender for this marathon test.
NoteBeaten Fav
GoingSoft
Rating152
4

Nassalam 🇫🇷

Form: 11P0/PP-PP / Age: 8
Trainer: Gary Moore
Weight: 11-4
Course Specialist: Won this race by a huge margin in 2023. However, recent form is woeful with four pull-ups. Needs the mud and a massive revival to feature.
TrackCD Win
FormPoor
Rating145
5

Monbeg Genius 🇮🇪

Form: 5P/241P6-P / Age: 9
Trainer: Jonjo O'Neill
Weight: 11-3
Talented but risky. Previous 3rd in the Ultima shows his class, but recent pulled-up effort at Aintree raises questions. Course winner who could go well if on a going day.
TrackWinner
Rating144
RiskHigh
6

Rock My Way 🇮🇪

Form: 314225-01 / Age: 7
Trainer: Joe Tizzard
Weight: 10-13
Arrives in winning form after a victory at Ascot in November. Consistent type for the Tizzard yard who should handle the conditions.
FormWon Last
Age7
Rating140
7

Tanganyika 🇫🇷

Form: 0/54112-5P / Age: 7
Trainer: Venetia Williams
Weight: 10-13
Venetia Williams' runners must always be respected in soft-ground marathons. Pulled up last time at Sandown but previously consistent.
TrainerForm
GoingSft
Rating140
8

O'Connell 🇮🇪

Form: 4/81112-31 / Age: 9
Trainer: Sue Smith
Weight: 10-9
A gritty Northern raider who won well at Sandown recently. Stays well and comes into this in peak form. A solid each-way contender.
FormWon Last
Rating136
StayYes
9

Uncle Bert 🇬🇧

Form: 3P23159-1 / Age: 8
Trainer: N Twiston-Davies
Weight: 10-9
Won at Aintree on 6th Dec, proving his current wellbeing. Steps up in trip here but the Twiston-Davies team are in flying form.
FormWon Last
Rating136
TrainerHot
10

Collectors Item 🇮🇪

Form: 4/1521P8-2 / Age: 8
Trainer: Jonjo O'Neill
Weight: 10-8
Finished 2nd in the Trial race at Chepstow recently. Course form is a huge plus in the Welsh National, making him an interesting low-weight contender.
CoursePlaced
Rating135
WeightLow
11

Git Maker 🇫🇷

Form: 1623/030-3 / Age: 9
Trainer: Jamie Snowden
Weight: 10-6
Placed over hurdles recently as a warm-up. Proven stayer (2nd in Kim Muir previously) and has a nice racing weight.
Prep3rd
StaminaProven
Rating133
12

Deafening Silence 🇮🇪

Form: 11/34215-2 / Age: 8
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Weight: 10-5
Runner-up at Newcastle recently. Consistent sort for the powerful Skelton yard. Looks well handicapped on 132 if he sees out the trip.
Form2nd
TrainerTop
Rating132
13

Jubilee Express 🇫🇷

Form: 4321/26-01 / Age: 8
Trainer: Sam Thomas
Weight: 10-3
Key Contender: Winner of the Trial race at Chepstow on 6th Dec. Loves this track and is trained locally. Ticks a lot of boxes for this specific race.
TrackWinner
FormWon Last
Rating130
14

Where It All Began 🇮🇪

Form: 148/P0FP-P / Age: 9
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Weight: 10-2
Irish raider who was 4th in the Kim Muir but has been pulled up on his last two starts. Needs a massive return to form.
FormPoor
TrainerElliott
Rating129
15

Dom Of Mary 🇫🇷

Form: 38/P28P-31 / Age: 9
Trainer: James Owen
Weight: 10-2
Stayed on strongly to win at Newcastle in November. Clearly has the stamina for this and is down at the bottom of the weights.
StaminaYes
FormWon Last
Rating129
16

Hung Jury 🇮🇪

Form: 56-14812 / Age: 10
Trainer: Martin Keighley
Weight: 10-2
Veteran runner (10yo) who finished 2nd at Sandown recently. Likely playing for a place rather than the win in this competitive field.
Age10
Form2nd
Rating129
17

Livin On Luco 🇮🇪

Form: 222/16P3-1 / Age: 7
Trainer: Hobbs & White
Weight: 10-2
Won nicely at Fontwell last time out. A younger horse (7yo) with scope for improvement over this longer trip.
FormWon Last
Age7
Rating129
18

Beaufort Scale 🇮🇪

Form: 0-7027277 / Age: 6
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Weight: 10-2
Youngster of the field at just 6 years old. Recent form is mixed, but representing Gordon Elliott makes him a dangerous floater at the weights.
Age6
TrainerElliott
Rating129
19

Pats Fancy 🇮🇪

Form: 6/6PP-46 / Age: 10
Trainer: Rebecca Curtis
Weight: 10-2
Former course winner and 2nd in the National Hunt Chase years ago. Not the force he once was, finishing 6th here recently.
TrackWinner
Age10
Rating129
20

De Legislator 🇮🇪

Form: 51-13 / Age: 8
Trainer: Lucinda Russell
Weight: 10-2
Placed 3rd at Kelso recently. Lightly raced chaser from a stable that excels with staying chasers (Corach Rambler etc). Interesting outsider.
TrainerStamina
Form3rd
Rating129
21

Holokea 🇮🇪

Form: P422-2122 / Age: 6
Trainer: Mickey Bowen
Weight: 10-2
Very consistent with a string of 2nd places, including at Cheltenham recently. A young horse on the up, but this is a massive test of stamina.
FormConsistent
Age6
Rating129
22

Onethreefivenotout 🇮🇪

Form: 663-1P2FU / Age: 9
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Weight: 10-2
Unseated rider at Navan last time. Has ability but comes with risks attached. Another dart thrown by the Elliott team.
FormMixed
TrainerElliott
Rating129

Based on the form, weight trends, and conditions for the Coral Welsh Grand National (a race historically dominated by horses carrying less than 11st in soft ground), here is the verdict:

🏆 The Verdict: Most Likely Winner

#13 Jubilee Express (Weight: 10-3) This horse ticks almost every statistical box for a Welsh National winner.

  • Why: He is a Course Winner who landed the designated “Trial” race at Chepstow just weeks ago (Dec 6th). That proves his fitness and ability to handle the unique undulations of this track. Crucially, he gets in with a featherweight of 10st 3lb. In heavy conditions over nearly 4 miles, carrying 25lbs less than the top weight is a massive advantage.

🥈 The Top Three Forecast

1. Jubilee Express (Winner)

  • Reasoning: As mentioned, the combination of a recent course win and low weight is the classic formula for success in this race.

2. Mr Vango (2nd)

  • Reasoning: A thorough stayer. His recent 2nd in the Becher Chase at Aintree proves he stamina is limitless and he handles heavy ground. He has a touch of class (rated 152) and will be running on when others have stopped, though the 11st 11lb burden might just anchor him near the line.

3. O’Connell (3rd)

  • Reasoning: A gritty Northern raider for Sue Smith. He arrives in winning form (won at Sandown recently) and stays all day. He sits in a nice middle weight range (10st 9lb) and is ultra-tough.

💰 Best Each-Way Selection (Longer Odds)

#10 Collectors Item (Weight: 10-8)

  • Why: If you like the favourite (Jubilee Express), you have to respect this horse. He finished 2nd to Jubilee Express in that key Trial race at Chepstow on Dec 6th.

  • He meets the winner on similar terms but is likely to be double or triple the odds. He is trained by Jonjo O’Neill (a master of staying chasers), carries a lovely racing weight, and has proven he acts on the track. He represents excellent value to hit the frame.

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