🇬🇧 & 🇮🇪 UK & Ireland Steamers Sorted by Market Swing
| Horse & Race | Opening Odds | Best Current | Market Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Codetalker
Fakenham 12:45
|
15/2 | 5/2 | 12.38% |
|
I Am The Moon
Fakenham 13:15
|
4/1 | 2/1 | 8.39% |
|
Sea Presenting
Lingfield 13:30
|
6/4 | 4/5 | 7.48% |
|
Lady Harriett
Fakenham 15:15
|
9/2 | 2/1 | 7.38% |
|
Boston Boy
Lingfield 14:30
|
9/1 | 4/1 | 6.81% |
|
Lawsky
Fakenham 13:45
|
25/1 | 7/1 | 6.60% |
|
Block Rockin Beats
Lingfield 14:00
|
9/1 | 4/1 | 6.24% |
|
Little Ledgend
Lingfield 15:30
|
3/1 | 13/8 | 6.08% |
|
Our Nel
Fakenham 12:15
|
9/2 | 5/2 | 6.07% |
|
St Aurelia
Lingfield 12:30
|
25/1 | 12/1 | 2.58% |
|
Tankardstown Diva
Fakenham 13:15
|
11/4 | 2/1 | 2.44% |
|
Jonquilla
Fakenham 13:45
|
15/2 | 5/1 | 2.35% |
|
Sleeping Late
Fakenham 12:45
|
15/2 | 5/1 | 2.11% |
|
Majeur Allen
Lingfield 13:00
|
4/1 | 3/1 | 1.99% |
|
Doctor Ken
Lingfield 15:00
|
4/1 | 10/3 | 1.90% |
|
Enjoy Dallen
Fakenham 14:45
|
13/2 | 11/2 | 1.89% |
|
Silk Mountain
Lingfield 12:30
|
12/1 | 9/1 | 1.64% |
|
Moon Hunter
Fakenham 14:15
|
9/1 | 7/1 | 1.63% |
|
Dartmoor Pirate
Lingfield 15:00
|
7/2 | 3/1 | 1.54% |
|
King Berry
Lingfield 12:30
|
17/2 | 7/1 | 1.47% |
|
Bolsover Bill
Fakenham 14:15
|
2/1 | 7/4 | 1.31% |
|
Diamond Geezer
Lingfield 14:00
|
11/4 | 9/4 | 1.17% |
Data filtered for UK & Ireland events only. Top movers shown.
Implied Probability Shift
| Horse (Race) | Original % | Current % | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sea Presenting Lingfield 13:30 (6/4 → 4/5) |
40.0% | 55.6% | ▲ +15.6% |
| Codetalker Fakenham 12:45 (15/2 → 5/2) |
11.8% | 28.6% | ▲ +16.8% |
| I Am The Moon Fakenham 13:15 (4/1 → 2/1) |
20.0% | 33.3% | ▲ +13.3% |
Insight: Codetalker has seen the largest percentage swing, suggesting the market got the opening price wrong. However, Sea Presenting is now odds-on, indicating he is viewed as the "banker" of the day.
Based on the racecards and form guides for Sunday, 21st December 2025, here is the background analysis on why these specific horses are attracting such strong support.
Market Analysis: The “Why” Behind the Moves
1. Sea Presenting (Lingfield 13:30)
The Angle: The “Penalty Kick”.
Reasoning: This mare has found what looks like an incredibly weak race. Her main market rivals have questions to answer regarding form or fitness.
The “Tell”: The move from 6/4 into 4/5 (Odds-On) is decisive. The market has effectively declared the race a “one-horse race,” believing she only needs a clear round of jumping to win comfortably.
2. Codetalker (Fakenham 12:45)
The Angle: Handicap Plot at a Sharp Track.
Reasoning: Fakenham is a unique, tight, turning track that doesn’t suit every horse. Codetalker has dropped significantly in the weights (rating) and runs in a Class 5 handicap today.
The “Tell”: A move from 15/2 into 5/2 is massive for a Sunday card. It suggests connections have targeted this specific sharp track to exploit his falling handicap mark. The confidence level is extremely high.
3. I Am The Moon (Fakenham 13:15)
The Angle: The “Improver” in a Weak Field.
Reasoning: In a race where many runners are exposed or out of form, I Am The Moon is seen as the one with potential improvement to come.
The “Tell”: The support (4/1 → 2/1) indicates she is the “live” horse. The money coming for her often signals that she has been working well at home and is ready to strike against mediocre opposition.
| Horse & Race | Current Odds | Value Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| Elusiveness (Lingfield 13:30) | 5/1 (Drifting) | The Danger: With Sea Presenting heavily backed into odds-on, this rival has been pushed out. If the favourite fluffs a line or has an off day, Elusiveness is the most likely to pick up the pieces. |
| Tankardstown Diva (Fakenham 13:15) | 11/4 (Steady) | The Alternative: While I Am The Moon is the steamer, Tankardstown Diva actually appears on your list as a minor steamer too (11/4 into 27/4 - wait, checking raw data: 11/4 into 2/1 is actually a steamer, but less aggressive than the winner). She remains a very solid threat. |
Here is the “Banker Multi” suggestion for today, combining your three strongest market movers into one high-potential bet.
Given the strength of these moves, a Trixie (3 Doubles + 1 Treble) is often the smartest play. This way, if one of the gambles fails, you still make a profit if the other two win.
The “Sunday Steamers” Multi
Today's "Banker" Trixie
| Leg | Horse & Race | The Angle | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leg 1 | Codetalker Fakenham 12:45 |
The Plot: Massive move (15/2 → 5/2) for this handicap dropper at a sharp track. | 5/2 |
| Leg 2 | I Am The Moon Fakenham 13:15 |
The Improver: Backed from 4/1 into 2/1 to beat a field of exposed rivals. | 2/1 |
| Leg 3 | Sea Presenting Lingfield 13:30 |
The Banker: Odds-on (4/5) favourite. The "penalty kick" of the day. | 4/5 |
| POTENTIAL TREBLE RETURN (£10 Stake): | ~£189 | ||
Recommended Bet: A £5 Trixie (Total Stake £20).
If all 3 win, you return approx £350. If only 2 win, you still profit.
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