Here is the UK & Ireland Market Movers table for today, Wednesday, 28th January.
The market is showing strong moves at Kempton and Dundalk. Seeing Stars is the biggest steamer of the evening, shortening significantly from 9/4 into 10/11 at Kempton.
UK & Ireland Steamers
🇬🇧 & 🇮🇪 UK & Ireland Market Movers
Top Steamers by Market Swing| Horse & Event | Opening Odds | Current Best | Market Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seeing Stars Steamer Kempton 19:30 | 9/4 | 10/11 | +13.94% |
| This Guy Dundalk 14:32 | 11/4 | 11/8 | +11.07% |
| Al Azd Kempton 19:00 | 6/1 | 11/4 | +9.19% |
| The Real Screamer Dundalk 17:37 | 11/2 | 11/4 | +8.81% |
| Zabriskie Point Dundalk 16:02 | 28/1 | 9/1 | +5.25% |
| Mbappe Kempton 18:30 | 9/4 | 13/8 | +4.67% |
| Inishmot Prince Dundalk 15:02 | 11/1 | 5/1 | +4.57% |
| Palladas Kempton 19:00 | 11/10 | 4/5 | +4.39% |
| Umala Dundalk 17:37 | 10/1 | 6/1 | +3.90% |
| Exposay Kempton 20:00 | 5/1 | 7/2 | +3.48% |
| Southbank Kempton 17:30 | 3/1 | 7/4 | +3.43% |
| Lady Wingalong Kempton 20:00 | 13/2 | 9/2 | +3.12% |
| Petes Dream Dundalk 15:32 | 9/1 | 6/1 | +2.99% |
| Grand Citadel Kempton 18:30 | 18/1 | 10/1 | +2.94% |
| Big Bard Kempton 17:30 | 14/1 | 7/1 | +2.93% |
| Paradias Kempton 20:30 | 7/2 | 11/4 | +2.44% |
| Palmezzano Dundalk 17:02 | 9/4 | 2/1 | +2.37% |
| Vibrato Dundalk 15:02 | 33/1 | 14/1 | +2.17% |
| Desert Of The Sea Dundalk 15:32 | 20/1 | 12/1 | +2.09% |
| Flyta Kempton 19:30 | 8/1 | 6/1 | +1.56% |
Here is the Implied Probability Shift table for today’s top 3 movers.
Seeing Stars is the standout move of the day at Kempton. The shift from 9/4 into odds-on (10/11) represents a massive surge in confidence, with the implied probability of winning increasing by over 21%. This Guy at Dundalk has also seen a significant shortening.
Top 3 Movers: Probability Shift
Implied Probability Shift
| Horse (Race) | Original % | Current % | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seeing Stars Kempton 19:30 (9/4 → 10/11) |
30.8% | 52.4% | ▲ +21.6% |
| This Guy Dundalk 14:32 (11/4 → 11/8) |
26.7% | 42.1% | ▲ +15.4% |
| Al Azd Kempton 19:00 (6/1 → 11/4) |
14.3% | 26.7% | ▲ +12.4% |
Insight: Seeing Stars has crossed the 50% probability threshold, suggesting the market views it as the most likely winner. Al Azd has nearly doubled its implied probability in the Kempton 19:00.
Here is the Dutching Strategy for the Kempton 19:00.
This is a “Safety First” Strategy. Since Palladas is already odds-on (4/5), backing him alone yields a small return with high risk if he fails. However, Al Azd has been smashed from 6/1 into 11/4, identifying him as the clear threat. By Dutching them, we accept a modest 21% ROI, but we secure a profit on the two horses the market says are most likely to win.
The Kempton Duel: 19:00
⚔️ The Kempton Duel: 19:00
Target ROI: ~21%| Selection | Odds | Stake (£50 Total) | Return | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palladas The Odds-On Favourite (11/10 → 4/5) |
4/5 (1.80) | £33.78 | £60.80 | +£10.80 |
| Al Azd The Big Mover (6/1 → 11/4) |
11/4 (3.75) | £16.22 | £60.83 | +£10.83 |
| TOTALS | - | £50.00 | ~£60.81 | +£10.81 |
Logic: We heavily weight the stake on Palladas (approx 67%) to cover the short price. This strategy is about steady bankroll growth—getting a 20% return on the race where the market has the strongest opinions.
Final Recap for Wednesday:
The Banker: Seeing Stars (Kempton 19:30) – 9/4 into 10/11 is a huge vote of confidence.
The Irish Steamer: This Guy (Dundalk 14:32) – 11/4 into 11/8 suggests he is the one to beat in Ireland.
The Dutch Play: Palladas & Al Azd (Kempton 19:00) – Covering the clear “Match Bet” of the evening.
Good luck with your bets today!
